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Nfl betting tips week 11
The Cardinals got incinerated by the Chiefs in the opener and allowed 23 points to the Raiders in the first three quarters before their furious comeback in the fourth quarter and overtime. Both defenses can generate big plays off turnovers, as well, which could also add to the point total.
I'm looking for this to be an old-fashioned, western shootout. What is your favorite player prop? Schatz: Jerick McKinnon over This is a bit of a counterintuitive pick. The Colts' run defense is the one thing that has been good in the first couple weeks, currently No. But Jerick McKinnon has played a clear role in the Kansas City run game early this season as the switch-up for Clyde Edwards-Helaire , with 34 rushing yards so far. I expect the Chiefs to be controlling this game late and running out the clock, which means McKinnon's going to get his opportunities and top this tiny rushing total.
Fulghum: Dalvin Cook over Don't be spooked by Cook's Week 2 box score. Yes, he only carried the ball six times, but context is important. The Eagles demolished the Vikings from start to finish. Back in Week 1, Cook had 20 carries against a methodical Packers team because of the positive game script. Not only will he be a back playing as a home favorite, but he is facing the Detroit Lions. Dan Campbell's bunch has become the ideal opponent in for opportunity and production.
Moody: Patrick Mahomes over 2. I'm drawn to this at plus odds. The Chiefs have one of the most pass-heavy offenses in the NFL. Only the Buccaneers Mahomes is known for his dominant performances in September. I expect the Chiefs to score 40 points in this game and most of them through the air. Mahomes has averaged 3.
It will be difficult for the Colts' defense to slow down the Kansas City's high-octane offense. Play for Free Dolan: Leonard Fournette over Fournette is averaging 96 rushing yards on The Packers defense ranks 27th against the run, allowing an average of rushing yards per game. Tampa Bay's offensive line is banged up, and Fournette will have to have a big day in order for the Bucs to stay in the game. Walder: Joe Burrow under I think there's a few different ways that Burrow can throw under For starters, as I mentioned earlier, there's blowout potential here.
The Jets are coming off a win but are not a great team. So Burrow could stop passing early, particularly given the sack concerns the Bengals have. That's actually a second point in our favor: the offensive line. Not only does that potentially limit Burrow's passing ability, but the Bengals almost have to be a little more conservative to protect him. And lastly, the Jets as a team haven't been great against the pass, but their starting corner duo has been pretty solid.
Reed has allowed 0. Walder: Marquez Valdes-Scantling over I love this bet. Valdes-Scantling is firmly in the mix of receivers behind Travis Kelce , with 11 targets over the first two games -- tied with JuJu Smith-Schuster and one ahead of Mecole Hardman. My projections make this number But what those projections don't know is that Valdes-Scantling has been running more high-value routes in terms of yards per route run as a Chief compared to what he did as a Packer.
More deep outs, more drags and most notably, more deep crossing routes. Those crossing routes are most effective against single-high coverage and who are the Chiefs facing Sunday? Colts defensive coordinator Gus Bradley, a Cover-3 disciple. It's perfect. Marks: James Robinson over Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to be diverse and wager as many ways as they can on a game. Both types of players can be successful with a disciplined and calculated strategy which is the great thing about NFL betting.
With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. The great thing about ATS NFL betting is that the team you wager on can lose outright, but your bet can still be a winner a Chicago loss. Our NFL picks against the spread are our most popular bet on site, and the game lines are widely discussed by sport shows and experts in the lead-up to matches.
This is why last-second field goals in 24 point blowouts are still edge-of-your-seat moments as they can push the total over or under the set line. Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your
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On the season, the Steelers are averaging Thankfully, when the offense drags its toes and not in that cool Santonio Holmes kind of way the Pittsburgh defense picks up the slack. In fact, the Steel Curtain has been heavy since Week 6, allowing an average of just Jacksonville has totaled 25 and 14 points on offense in the past two games while facing defenses ranked near the backend of the league in DVOA.
Pittsburgh is among the stingiest stop units in the land and near the top of the NFL in that metric. Take the Under before this creeps to the key number of The Packers are coming off a bad showing at home to the Jaguars, managing only 24 points and failing to cover as Green Bay has been spotty on offense and now faces a Colts stop unit that had a mini bye to prep for Aaron Rodgers after shutting down Tennessee last Thursday night.
Like I said, barring something whacky in the Week 10 matchup with Vegas, this total - whatever it ends up opening at early Monday morning - it's going to run. Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans Under Houston is Houston. The Texans have scored in single digits or not at all in five of their last seven games but rank 30th in yards allowed and 29th in points given up.
Tennessee is winning but this offense is far from explosive, averaging just 4. This homestand with hopeless Houston could serve as a bit of a breather for the Titans after running a gauntlet the past five games Buffalo, Kansas City, Indianapolis, L.
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