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Daily forex trend report gunmetal shoes
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But before you leave thinking you know about the concept of higher highs, higher lows, etc. In other words, you may want to stick around. Now comes the fun part — taking this very basic concept of highs and lows and turning it into actionable information. For that, we turn to the most basic principle of technical analysis. In short, the relationship among highs and lows as they form over time. All we are doing with this technique is observing where the extended swing highs and lows are within a given trend.
The GBPUSD daily chart below is a perfect example of how something as simple as watching how the highs and lows of a market interact with each other can signal a change in trend. Notice how over the course of several months, GBPUSD carved out somewhat of a rounding top , which is a valid technical pattern.
In the chart above, the first lower high was the first sign that the uptrend was beginning to fatigue. But the signs are always there; you may just have to look a bit harder to find them in some instances. For that, we need the highs and lows to interact with a key level in a way that offers a favorable setup. In other words, we need to turn the price action you see in the chart above into actionable information.
There is a common and costly misconception among traders in all markets where technical analysis is a traditional method of trading. Someone at some point in time came up with the notion that support and resistance levels become stronger with each additional retest. Multiple retests of the same level make that level more visible, they do not make it stronger.
And visible and strong are by no means synonymous. Think about it, if this were true — that a level became stronger with each additional retest — it would theoretically never break. So if we can agree that multiple retests of a given level do not make it stronger, we can naturally conclude that it makes the level weaker, right?
Well, not quite. For that, we turn to you guessed it , highs and lows. More specifically, the relationship the highs and lows have with our key level. The illustration below shows a trending market that is respecting a trend line, however, the distance between each retest has become shorter over time. Note how the market tested this level as support on four separate occasions since its inception.
What many traders tend to dismiss, however, is the shorter time span between each retest as the trend extended higher. The likely outcome for this type of price action is as follows: Why does this happen? When it comes to supply and demand , as prices move higher, demand naturally begins to run thin as traders a less willing to buy at higher prices.
At the same time, supply increases as market participants unwind their positions to book profits. In the case of the illustrations above, that demand is drying up more quickly with each subsequent rally from trend line support. Thus, we get a market that begins spending more time trying to keep its head above water than making higher highs.
Of course, this concept also applies to a bearish trend where demand increases and supply decreases as prices drop. The EURUSD daily chart below is a perfect real-world example of a currency pair that began testing support more rapidly over the course of days. Notice how each rally spent less time away from support as the trend became extended. We all know what happened next. The breakdown you see in the chart above was the starting point of the massive 3,pip drop that transpired over the next 44 weeks.
If we want to get fancy, we can combine the two techniques we just discussed to further the conviction that a breakdown was imminent. I will be the first to admit that the pair was not making lower highs before the technical break. However, the fact that a rising wedge formed indicates that each subsequent rally had less bullish conviction than the last. In some ways, this is a combination of the two techniques we just discussed.
The idea of heavy price action is something my members have become very familiar with over the years. As the term implies, this is when a market begins to put constant pressure on a key level over a short period. I suppose I should come up with a better word for it since the word heavy only applies to a pair that is putting pressure on a support level. At any rate, the idea here is to watch how the market responds to support or resistance within a given period.
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