Автор: Takus
Cs go vanguard passive vs active investing
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You probably could make better investment decisions. The problem is, you need deep knowledge of at least one other asset to trade with do you really know how cash has value? I had a much smaller drawdown during the Covid crisis than the market and the recovery time was faster too. This year, my total portfolio has gone down much less than the market every single time both from a sterling point of view as from a USD point of view.
I have been designing the new asset allocation for subportfolio. I used various online tools to check this portfolio. Likely doing worse over a full cycle, even if you outperform during downturns. Certainly different scoring! Investing in active funds also encourages switching, which is a recipe for significant under performance and the evidence indicates this is even more harmful for investor returns.
For ex — A fund manager underperforms. Has the PM lost their marbles, is the style just out of favour. Very hard to know. So you switch into another fund, that fund starts underperforming post a few years of outperformance etc etc. With a passive portfolio you know you are getting the index returns. As others have highlighted for liquid equity and bond markets, passive allocation is demonstrably the way forward. The other factor is obvious asset allocation. I suppose some people are happy to pay up for someone else to do the work.
Done passively over very long time frames that would be a losing strategy, but at a time when interest rates rise it is very sensible prudence and allows them to make a little money. Fourteen funds? I am Mr. Over Optimise! What I have noticed, though, is that it doesn't make a lot of difference.
Not sure it's worth the bother for me! If you like, next week, I can go through my car spreadsheet I made before confirming my gut feel… I mean making an evidence based rational decision. Meany — thank you for that. I'm sure I've read somewhere that you should hedge your FI cos of stability? Anyway, seems you're paying a lot for that stability. If that's what someone wants, fair do's.
Do you have a URL please? Cheers for sharing. Do you have linkers too? Do you hedge your US bonds? In reality, very few of us could achieve financial independence if we relied on linkers, nor would I want to bank my entire future on the full faith and credit of the British Government.
The way I think of it is that a global tracker is the passive position on the equity side. But the defensive side of the portfolio is about diversification and risk management. Linkers for inflation. Cash for liquidity. Gold for when nothing else works. My allocation to those asset classes is not active — assuming I stick to my own asset allocation rules e. That historical quirk is not something I would ever bet on paying off in my lifetime. Thanks also for the feedback on the portfolio idea.
To clarify, this is not a real portfolio yet, just an idea for what I would invest what was in my company DC pension. I intend to have most of them hedged except for the longest duration ones I have added. The reason for having the long duration ones unhedged is that they are there mainly to cushion equity drawdowns and deflation. As you know, king Dollar is the top safe heaven currency the world and his wife usually desperately want whenever there is a crisis.
So by keeping the long duration bonds unhedged, I am betting on a double cushion effect from those unhedged Treasuries in a crisis. TI — Thanks for the feedback. The new post you are writing seems very interesting. To put it simply, the notion overlooks a much more critical perspective—the aggregate investment exposure at the portfolio level. Using a small-cap value index fund to implement an allocation to the total U. This chart illustrates my reasoning. If investors aimed to implement a truly passive strategy relative to the total U.
Time period observed: January to December Sources: Vanguard calculations, based on data from Morningstar, Inc. Technically speaking, we find nontrivial variability of excess returns relative to the total U. Notes: All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.
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